Credit: Minnesota Athletics

Amir Coffey Draft Profile

Breaking down the NBA potential of Amir Coffey

Junior 6’8″ 210 SG/SF Minnesota DOB: 6/17/97
16.6 ppg 3.6 rpg 3.2 apg FG: 43.6% 3PT: 30.4%

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High School Recruiting Profile

Wingspan: 6’7″

NBA Comparison: Rodney Hood

Strengths: Size, Athleticism, Shot Creation

Weaknesses: Length, Efficiency, Outside Shooting

Coffey has started every game he has played at Minnesota being a productive scorer from day one on campus. As a freshman he averaged 12.2 points per game, 14 as a sophomore, and 16.6 as a junior. He is a natural scorer who has a good feel for the game, being able to use angles and attack the basket. He creates jump shots off of the dribble well, using step backs and crossovers to his advantage. The majority of his shots created were 2 point attempts which he made at a fairly solid rate, but he also has the ability to pull up from behind the arc. He knocked down plenty of shots coming off of screens, and Coffey will need to use his shot creation and movement without the ball going forward to be the effective scorer that will be necessary to earn minutes as a pro. As an athlete he will fit in well at the professional level having a strong vertical leap to go with a top end speed that is comparable to smaller players. Being able to play either wing position, he has good size at 6’8″ which allows him to finish on the inside and get his shot off against players on the perimeter. Coffey had some big games in his junior season, scoring 18 points against Louisville and 27 points against Michigan State, both in the NCAA Tournament. During the regular season he dropped 32 on Purdue, 31 on Northwestern, 32 on Nebraska, and 29 against Rutgers. It is these kind of offensive performances that have teams intrigued with his potential to score the ball, there will just need to be better consistency in doing that going forward. Coffey can handle pick and roll situations well whether it is passing it off or pulling up for a jump shot, but he also has a solid ability to read the defense and find a driving lane coming off of the pick. His ability to pass the ball was on display in his junior season averaging 3.2 assists per game, and while that number might not jump off of the page, it is comparable to some point guards in this years draft class. Being able to set up teammates and handle the ball is one avenue that Coffey can use to earn minutes and impact the game as he improves his shooting consistency. 

There are questions with his ability to defend at the next level, and his lack on length could cause some issues in that area. With that said he has the athleticism required to deal with the level of athlete in the league but it will take an effort by a coaching staff and Coffey to improve in this aspect of the game. His outside shooting numbers left a lot to be desired and teams would have definitely preferred to see improvement in his shooting analytics but Coffey regressed from his sophomore to junior season. As a freshman he shot three point attempts at 33.7%, then 36.8% as a sophomore, followed up by 30.4% as a junior. There will need to be improvements made to his three point shooting for Coffey to earn major minutes on the professional level, but there are signs that he can do so. He shoots free throw attempts at 74% and his mechanics do not show any major flaws with a natural release out of his hands. His mid range jump shot was effective and can be used to help his production as he attempts to improve his three point shooting going forward. Coffey had multiple games where he did not reach double digits in points scoring 8 against Rutgers, 6 against Michigan, 4 against Michigan State, and 8 against Wisconsin. These games and his at times poor performance shooting the ball are a cause for concern to some teams, and he will need to overcome the notion that he is a streaky scorer to stick in the league. He will need to not only improve in some of the areas previously mentioned, but as a whole Coffey needs to impact the game by being more than just a scorer providing rebounding or another area of production. 

Here is an example of his athleticism:

This play shows his ability to knock down an outside jump shot:

Coffey is currently projected anywhere from the late second round to going undrafted. His ceiling as a professional is a starter level wing, possibly coming off of the bench in a sixth man role, bringing a high level of scoring and play making ability. The worst case scenario for Coffey is that he is unable to defend or score efficiently enough to earn minutes at the NBA level, leading him to spend most of his career in the G League or overseas.

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