Credit: Ole Miss Athletics

Terence Davis Draft Profile

Breaking down the NBA potential of Terence Davis

Senior 6’4.5″ 201 Shooting Guard Ole Miss DOB: 5/16/97
15.2 ppg 5.8 rpg 3.5 apg FG: 44.4% 3PT: 37.1%

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Recruiting Profile

Wingspan: 6’8.75″

Vertical Leap: 34″

NBA Comparison: Kadeem Allen/E’Twuan Moore

Strengths: Shot Creation, Speed, Rebounding, Length

Weaknesses: Efficiency, Isolation, Static Statistics, Turnovers

Davis did not come into college with a lot of hype, but he put together a nice college career where he put up solid offensive numbers in a dynamic backcourt with Breein Tyree. There have been flashes of his ability to create a shot mainly pulling up for a jump shot using a variety of different moves but he also was able to make shots in a catch and shoot situation. His ability to knock down outside shots allows him more room to work when driving to the basket, and he takes advantage of this getting to the hoop at will. He is quick enough to get by a defender, and once he is by a defender he can use his athleticism to finish at the basket. His shot mechanics are strong and it is a natural release off of his hands. With being smaller than many other wings in the NBA and other professional leagues his quick release will help, as well as having confidence in himself to knock down shots at a high rate. There were plenty of highlight dunks, and he can finish through contact well. For a guard at his size Davis rebounded well in college, and he has a strong ability to track down the ball on long rebounding opportunities. With many taller players on the wing at the professional level his length will help on the defensive side of the ball, and he has the tools to be a solid defender once acclimated to the increased talent level. He has shown the ability to set up teammates when driving to the basket and on the break, averaging 3.5 as a senior and being a willing passer will allow him to earn more minutes at the professional level. Due to this passing ability and being able to play as the lead guard, there is the possibility that he can fill a role as a combo guard playing both the shooting guard and the point guard position at times. 

Shooting efficiency wise, Davis struggled through his first three years but he did improve to his 37.2% on three point attempts as a senior which was promising. Despite the improvement there are still questions with his overall ability to be an efficient outside shooter, however he did enough in his last season to give teams confidence that he is at the very least a serviceable outside threat. One other number that should be mentioned was his 36.3% on two point jump shots, and his short jumper efficiency could use some improvement to fully maximize his offensive potential. His scoring statistics as a whole did stay fairly stagnant after a jump from his freshman to his sophomore season. He averaged 14.9 points as a sophomore, 13.8 as a junior and 15.2 as a senior. While these numbers are solid, teams would of liked to have seen more of a jump in production, even more so when you consider his age as a senior. Seniors are usually at a disadvantage and considered to have less potential than younger players, so there will be teams that feel they know who Davis is and are not convinced his ceiling is as high as other possible later selections. With that said, much of the tape on the Davis is impressive and his game as a whole fits the modern NBA with his offensive abilities. He is a solid free throw shooter at 77.6%, but with his skills driving to the basket he can take advantage of that more than his 3.1 attempts from the line as a senior. Decision making and turnovers were an issue at times throughout his Ole Miss career, and while he has the ball in his hands often with his ability to create shots and drive to the basket, this will need improve going forward. 

Here is an example of his ability to finish at the rim:

This play shows how he can effect the game on defense:

Davis is projected as a possible second round pick, but he could also go undrafted. His ceiling as a professional is a role player receiving solid minutes providing above average scoring. The worst case scenario for Davis is that he is unable to score efficiently enough to earn minutes at the NBA level leading him to play in the G League or head overseas. 

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