Credit: Nevada Athletics

Caleb Martin Draft Profile

Breaking down the NBA potential of Caleb Martin

Senior 6’7″ 205 Shooting Guard Nevada 23 Yrs. Old
19.2 ppg 5.1 rpg 2.8 apg FG: 40.9% 3 PT: 33.8%

Click here for full stats

Recruiting profile

Wingspan: 6’10” 

NBA comparison: Denzel Valentine/Allen Crabbe

Strengths: Size, Shot creation, Volume scoring

Weaknesses: Offensive efficiency, Shot mechanics, Shot Selection

Always known as a pair with his twin brother Cody, Caleb is the more prolific scorer of the two. Coming out of high school, both Caleb and his brother chose to head to North Carolina State where they enjoyed a somewhat solid freshman and sophomore season. Following that year, they elected to head out west and go finish their careers in Nevada under Eric Musselman. The Wolfpack burst onto the national scene with the Martin twins and teammate Jordan Caroline, making the sweet sixteen last season. Nevada endured a first round exit during the tournament this season, after a great regular season for the team, but despite the early exit Caleb Martin helped turn the Nevada program into a known commodity in the basketball world. He has good size for a shooting guard at 6’7″, which allows him to get his shot off over most defenders. Whether it is coming off of a screen or creating his own shot, Martin has the ability to do both, but it is concerning he regressed this year with his outside shot. Somewhat due to shot selection, and also due to defenses focusing on the senior, his percentage from behind the arc went from 40.3% as a junior to 33.8% this season. Despite the decline percentage wise, he has shown that he has the ability to get open and hit shots, which will be his strong suit should he make the NBA. He is a natural born scorer with no fear on the offensive end, and that is a skill that can not be taught.

When his shot is going, he can put up big numbers, but when his shot is off he needs too many shots to get the production he is used to. He is an above average athlete that doesn’t use this ability enough, often relying on questionable outside shots when he could attempt to the get to the basket or the free throw line. One huge question mark that has arisen due to his decline in his shooting numbers would be the shooting motion itself. It is not fluid, and he seems to have some sort of hitch type of action that leads to a very hard motion to repeat, which could be a reason he had the problems he did shooting the ball as a senior. It might be something that could worked out of his shot with proper repetition, or possibly dealt with in a lesser manner should he figure out how to be efficient enough with his current shot. Whatever the case ends up being, it is something that will definitely be a point of emphasis as he gets his pro career started. On the defensive side of the court, Martin has the potential to be an above average defender with his size and length on the wing.

This clip proves he can get attack the rim:

This play shows his shooting motion, and the hitch in his shot that he will need to work on as a pro:

We currently project Martin as a mid to late second round pick, with the possibility of also going undrafted. He can score the ball in bunches, and no one is doubting that, but the decrease in efficiency as a 23 year old senior will have some teams viewing his age as more of a liability than positive to due his experience. His ceiling is a scoring minded wing who can put up points coming off of the bench, possibly starting if the situation fit correctly, but most likely in a reserve role. The worst case scenario for Martin would be that he continues to struggle with his shot mechanics and shooting it from the outside, causing him to not get much of a chance if any, to show he can play at the NBA level. If he gets his shot together, he has a chance to stick in the league should he make a roster out of the summer league, but given his age the leash will be much shorter than it is with younger players. 

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